🎙️ Total Soccer Show •August 21, 2026 •⏱️ 58 min

Premier League 2026-27 Predictions: top four, relegation candidates, breakout players, and more!

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1. Executive Overview: Core Theses & Key Revelations

The dawn of the 2026-27 Premier League campaign marks a decisive inflection point in contemporary European football. For nearly a decade, the English top flight was governed by an unprecedented standard of tactical perfection and squad depth, primarily dictated by Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City. However, as the panel on Total Soccer Show—comprising Ryan Bailey, Taylor Rockwell, Graham Ruffin, and Joe Larry—unpacks in their seasonal curtain-raiser, the structural foundations of that era have fractured. What emerges is not merely a routine title race, but a sweeping institutional realignment across the entire division.

The central narrative of the episode revolves around Arsenal’s transition from persistent, agonizing challengers to established incumbents. Having secured their first league title in over two decades during the preceding campaign, Mikel Arteta’s side enters 2026-27 as consensus favorites. Yet, as the panel meticulously outlines, Arsenal’s status at the summit owes as much to the systemic erosion of their traditional rivals as it does to their own perfection. The case for Arsenal retaining the crown is defined by process stability and squad continuity, standing in stark contrast to the profound uncertainty enveloping Manchester City, Liverpool, and Chelsea.

Manchester City’s trajectory represents the episode's most contentious battleground. The departure or physical decline of foundational pillars—most notably Rodri, Bernardo Silva, and John Stones—alongside impending managerial transitions, has stripped City of their signature control mechanics. While Joe Larry maintains a talent-first thesis placing City second behind Arsenal, both Rockwell and Ruffin project a staggering regression to fourth or fifth place. This internal divergence highlights a broader tactical reality: without their elite rest-defense anchors, City’s reliance on Erling Haaland’s individual finishing volume may no longer suffice to paper over structural chasms in build-up play.

Beyond the title race, the panel identifies several high-variance narratives that will shape the season's analytical landscape:

  • The Erling Haaland Exit Window: Taylor Rockwell’s blockbuster forecast that Haaland will claim another Golden Boot while executing his final season in England, with a summer megatransfer to Real Madrid or FC Barcelona already casting a shadow over the Etihad.
  • Chelsea’s High-Stakes Reboot under Xabi Alonso: The volatile convergence of Chelsea’s squad expansion and Xabi Alonso’s tactical demands, highlighted by Joe Larry’s projection that João Pedro will emerge as the league’s premier offensive contributor behind Haaland, offset by skepticism surrounding Morgan Rogers’ €138m transfer fee.
  • The Mid-Table Intruder Thesis: Graham Ruffin’s hypothesis that as late as Christmas Day, an unheralded outsider outside the traditional 'Big Six', Aston Villa, and Newcastle will inhabit the title conversation due to upper-tier instability.
  • Physical Burnout and Depth Deficits: The compounding fatigue of international schedules, exemplified by Declan Rice exceeding 5,000 minutes of competitive action last season, threatening squad integrity across elite contenders.

Analyst Predicted Champion Top 5 Projected Order Key Breakout Candidate Marquee Bold Prediction
Taylor Rockwell Arsenal 1. Arsenal, 2. Chelsea, 3. Man Utd, 4/5. Man City / Liverpool Benjamin Šeško / Caleb Urenshi Haaland wins Golden Boot; departs Man City for Barca/Real Madrid
Graham Ruffin Arsenal 1. Arsenal, 2. Liverpool, 3. Chelsea, 4. Man City, 5. Man Utd Brian Madjo / Aboubacar Touré Non-traditional outsider challenges for title through Christmas
Joe Larry Arsenal 1. Arsenal, 2. Man City, 3. Chelsea, 4. Man Utd, 5. Liverpool João Pedro / Caleb Urenshi Morgan Rogers underperforms fee; João Pedro 2nd in goal contributions
Ryan Bailey Arsenal 1. Arsenal, 2. Chelsea, 3. Man Utd, 4. Liverpool, 5. Man City Hayden Hackney Man City finishes outside top three; Fulham enters relegation fight

2. Context & Background: The Landscape Leading to This Conversation

To fully understand the gravity of the Total Soccer Show panel's assessment, one must evaluate the macro-environment of top-flight football in the summer of 2026. The sport has entered a post-peak physical cycle. Years of relentless fixture expansion—driven by expanded UEFA Champions League formats, FIFA Club World Cups, and international tournaments—have pushed elite players to the absolute ceiling of human recovery capacity.

Graham Ruffin’s emphasis on Declan Rice’s 5,000-plus minutes across the 2025-26 campaign is not an isolated metric; it is the defining variable of modern squad construction. When key figures operate at such operational volume, muscle injuries, micro-tears, and cognitive fatigue compound exponentially. Arsenal’s guarded secrecy regarding William Saliba’s undisclosed long-term injury underscores the fragility of even the most formidable defensive units. The necessity of spending £50 million on Aston Villa’s Ezri Konsa as a defensive insurance policy illustrates how top clubs are forced to reallocate capital simply to maintain structural baselines rather than upgrading primary talent.

Simultaneously, the regulatory environment governed by Profitability and Sustainability Rules (PSR) and UEFA’s Financial Sustainability Regulations has reshaped squad assembly strategies. The era of hoarding eight world-class midfielders or four elite center-backs without structural consequence is extinct. As a result, squad depth across the Premier League has thinned dramatically. Liverpool’s predicament—entering the campaign with elite starting talent such as Hugo Ekitike, yet lacking basic rotation pieces in central positions—reflects this structural compromise.

Tactically, the league has migrated away from the rigid, methodical positional play that characterized the early 2020s. In its place, managers are employing hyper-vertical transition models, aggressive mid-block triggers, and dynamic rest-defense structures designed to minimize physical strain while maximizing space exploitation. In this context, teams undergoing major structural transformations—such as Chelsea under Xabi Alonso or Liverpool under their post-Klopp tactical iteration—are forced to overhaul their mechanical patterns under full competitive exposure. It is precisely this convergence of physical exhaustion, financial constraint, and tactical flux that creates the volatile vacuum analyzed throughout the episode.

3. Deep-Dive Thematic Breakdown

3.1 The Sunset of the City Imperium: Institutional Pillars in Flux

The core premise of Manchester City’s decade-long dominance was never merely their attacking flair; it was their unmatched ability to smother opposition counter-attacks at their inception. This rest-defense architecture relied entirely on three structural pillars: Rodri’s central zone dominance, Bernardo Silva’s press-resistant positional fluidity, and John Stones’ hybrid movement into the midfield pivot. As Joe Larry highlights, the simultaneous erosion of these three pillars creates an existential challenge for Manchester City.

Without Rodri operating as a singular defensive screen, City’s central corridor becomes porous. Opponents no longer need to execute complex ten-pass patterns to bypass City’s high press; direct, two-pass vertical channels are suddenly accessible. The loss of Bernardo Silva’s ball retention in tight spaces further exacerbates this issue, forcing City into higher turnover rates in the middle third. Consequently, City’s backline is subjected to isolated 2v2 and 3v3 counter-attacking scenarios that were virtually non-existent during their title-winning campaigns.

This structural regression places an immense burden on Erling Haaland. While Haaland remains the premier finishing weapon in world football, his goalscoring output has increasingly occurred in isolation from City’s overall possessional health. When City’s build-up phase breaks down, Haaland becomes starved of service, forced to drop deeper or rely on low-probability long balls. Taylor Rockwell’s bold assertion that Haaland will claim the Golden Boot in his final season before transferring to Real Madrid or FC Barcelona captures the dual reality of City’s immediate future: Haaland will continue to record individual statistical milestones, but his goals will no longer guarantee league dominance.

The prospective transfer to Spain reflects a broader strategic realignment. For Real Madrid, pairing Haaland with their existing spatial assets would represent an unprecedented stacking of vertical threat. For FC Barcelona, seeking a marquee focal point to lead their post-reconstruction era, Haaland represents the ultimate commercial and sporting coup. In either scenario, City faces the prospect of a complete systemic teardown, confirming the panel's consensus that their era of undisputed dominance has reached its final act.

3.2 Arsenal’s Incumbency: The Mechanics of Title Retention

If Manchester City represents an empire in structural transition, Arsenal represents an established power consolidating its gains. Mikel Arteta’s side has systematically removed the structural flaws that plagued their previous title challenges. The arrival of Bruno Guimarães provides necessary midfield rotation, relieving the physical burden on Declan Rice and allowing Arsenal to maintain high-intensity pressing metrics across a 38-game schedule.

However, Graham Ruffin’s counter-thesis exposes the subtle vulnerabilities within Arsenal’s title defense. The primary concern centers on physical saturation. Bukayo Saka’s output has shown signs of stabilization rather than linear growth over the preceding six months, a natural consequence of carrying an unsustainable workload for both club and country. Furthermore, William Saliba’s physical absence forces a fundamental recalibration of Arsenal’s defensive geometry. While Gabriel Magalhães provides elite aerial aggression and physical presence, Saliba’s unique ability to defend large spaces in recovery run situations is irreplaceable.

The acquisition of Ezri Konsa for £50 million offers functional reliability, but placing a new partner alongside Gabriel disrupts the most synchronized central defensive pairing in European football. Moreover, Arsenal’s attacking mechanics remain susceptible to low-block frustration. The signing of Christos Tzolis provides width and directness, yet Arsenal still lacks a transcendent, individual match-winner of the caliber of Vinícius Júnior. Despite these valid caveats, Arsenal’s primary advantage lies in the comparative length of their operational to-do list. Where rivals must solve fundamental structural equations, Arsenal merely needs to manage fatigue and integrate complementary pieces.

3.3 Chelsea’s 'Understandable Chaos' & The Xabi Alonso Blueprint

Chelsea’s ongoing squad iteration enters a novel phase with the managerial appointment of Xabi Alonso. Taylor Rockwell’s characterization of Chelsea’s environment as 'understandable chaos' compared to the political volatility Alonso navigated at Real Madrid highlights an essential shift in perspective. Under Alonso, Chelsea possesses a tactician capable of imposing positional discipline upon an extraordinary concentration of individual talent.

The central beneficiary of Alonso’s arrival appears to be João Pedro. Joe Larry’s projection that João Pedro will finish second only to Erling Haaland in total goal contributions is rooted in tactical alignment. In Alonso’s fluid attacking structures—which prioritize dynamic second-strikers operating in the half-spaces behind a primary focal point—João Pedro’s skillset flourishes. His ability to turn in tight spaces, drive directly at center-backs, and link play with inverted wingers makes him the ideal engine for Chelsea’s attacking transitions. In pre-season configurations, Alonso’s preference for pairing Pedro alongside another forward has provided him with spatial freedom, elevating his expected goal involvement (xGI) metrics to elite tiers.

Player Current Club Analytical Assessment & Projected Role Key Tactical Metric / Risk Factor
João Pedro Chelsea Primary offensive catalyst under Xabi Alonso; operates in dynamic dual-forward setup. Projected 2nd in total PL goal contributions; high xGI in half-spaces.
Morgan Rogers Chelsea €138m marquee signing from Aston Villa; faces intense rotational competition. 37 starts (10G/6A) at Villa; risk of regression in raw output due to squad depth.
Declan Rice Arsenal Defensive anchor; undergoing workload management after severe physical load. >5,000 minutes played in 2025-26; potential dip in explosive pressure actions.
Benjamin Šeško Manchester United Focal point striker entering second Premier League season under stabilized coaching. Targeting 20+ league goals; complete displacement of Joshua Zirkzee.
Aboubacar Touré Newcastle United Explosive wide transition threat; direct replacement profile for high-tempo schemes. Elite top-speed metrics; high-variance output in chaotic game scripts.
Caleb Urenshi Coventry City Ball-winning central midfielder with elite press-resistance and progressive range. Profiled as Tyler Adams work-rate with superior ball progression.

Conversely, the arrival of Morgan Rogers for €138 million introduces structural friction. While Rogers recorded 10 goals and 6 assists across 37 starts for Aston Villa, replicating those numbers within Chelsea’s saturated attacking hierarchy presents a formidable challenge. As Joe Larry notes, when a player moves from being the absolute focal point of a team's transition system to one of six high-value options, raw statistical output frequently contracts. If Rogers fails to secure an unshakeable starting role, his transfer fee will invite intense scrutiny, mirroring the broader challenges of Chelsea’s recruitment model.

Furthermore, the evaluation of Nicolas Jackson highlights the psychological and structural complexities within Chelsea’s squad. Joe Larry’s assertion that Jackson is "too talented for there to be any other explanation beyond injury or some sort of personal problem" reflects the frustration surrounding an athlete whose underlying movement and physical metrics suggest elite potential, yet whose final-third execution remains highly erratic. Under Alonso, Chelsea must resolve whether Jackson can be rehabilitated into a dependable asset or if his tactical space will be completely swallowed by João Pedro and incoming additions.

3.4 Liverpool and Manchester United: Reconstruction vs. Stabilization

Liverpool’s position in the panel’s predictions highlights the peril of squad imbalance. While possessing an elite core, Liverpool’s complete lack of positional depth renders them highly vulnerable to structural collapse over a 38-game season. The reliance on Hugo Ekitike as the primary central threat, combined with persistent turnover across the front line, leaves new management with zero margin for error. Reported interest in dynamic wide assets like Yankuba Minteh or Johan Bakayoko reflects an urgent effort to inject physical speed into their transition play, yet until central midfield depth is secured, Liverpool remains a fragile entity incapable of sustaining a sustained title charge.

In contrast, Manchester United presents a case of tactical stabilization. The integration of Benjamin Šeško into his second Premier League campaign offers a clear focal point for an improving midfield. Taylor Rockwell’s projection of a 20-plus goal season for Šeško is supported by structural clarity: with Joshua Zirkzee expected to be marginalized or relocated, Šeško will command the vast majority of central minutes. Supported by enhanced midfield depth and a coherent tactical framework, United appears positioned to secure top-four stability, even if an authentic title bid remains beyond their immediate reach.

3.5 The Outlier Dynamics: Christmas Contenders and Relegation Vortexes

Graham Ruffin’s thesis regarding an unheralded outsider invading the top-four conversation as late as Christmas Day captures the unique structural volatility of the 2026-27 season. When established powers undergo simultaneous tactical overhauls or suffer depth contractions, cohesive, well-drilled mid-table sides can capitalize on early-season scheduling advantages.

Newcastle United exemplifies this high-variance dynamic. The addition of Aboubacar Touré provides Newcastle with raw, observable velocity on the flank. Described by the panel as possessing terrifying top-end acceleration reminiscent of Kylian Mbappé, Touré allows Newcastle to break low blocks through sheer athletic superiority. Coupled with incoming talent like Sean Stewart from Ajax, Newcastle possesses the raw firepower to overwhelm opponents in chaotic, high-tempo encounters. However, their defensive permeability suggests a team capable of beating any elite side while simultaneously dropping points to relegation candidates.

Simultaneously, the talent pipeline from the Football League and European developmental hubs continues to produce game-changing assets. Caleb Urenshi’s arrival at Coventry City from FC Nordsjælland highlights this trend. Combining the ball-winning tenacity of Tyler Adams with superior dribbling out of tight spaces and expansive vision, Urenshi represents the modern dynamic box-to-box profile. Whether leading Coventry’s survival effort or provoking a mid-season bidding war from top-tier suitors, Urenshi embodies the tactical fluidity defining the lower half of the table. Combined with Aston Villa’s integration of young forward Bryan Madjo and Middlesbrough’s Hayden Hackney transitioning into a top-flight orchestrator, the division's middle tier possesses unprecedented technical quality.

4. Speaker Perspectives & Analytical Contrast

The internal debate on Total Soccer Show showcases distinct analytical methodologies, reflecting how different evaluators interpret the same empirical data points.

Taylor Rockwell operates through a macro-structural and narrative lens. Rockwell places heavy emphasis on established psychological baselines—arguing that Arsenal’s experience as champions removes the psychological friction that previously hindered their execution. His predictions are bold and narrative-driven, exemplified by his confident forecasting of Erling Haaland’s impending departure to Spain and his rationalization of Xabi Alonso’s tactical fit at Chelsea. Rockwell prioritizes high-ceiling individual trajectories over squad depth concerns.

Graham Ruffin functions as the structural skeptic and workload pragmatist. Ruffin repeatedly anchors his analysis in physical realities, pointing to Declan Rice’s 5,000-minute workload, William Saliba’s undisclosed injury, and the potential disruption of Ezri Konsa’s integration. Ruffin is deeply attuned to historical variance, refusing to accept linear projections for Arsenal or Manchester City. His prediction of a mid-table outsider occupying a title spot at Christmas stems from his belief that top-end volatility inevitably opens structural doors for overperforming mid-tier units.

Joe Larry utilizes a talent-density and individual metric methodology. Larry remains steadfast in placing Manchester City second despite acknowledging their systemic decay, relying on the sheer concentration of world-class talent possessed by Guardiola's squad. His analysis of individual player mechanics—diagnosing Nicolas Jackson’s psychological blockages, forecasting João Pedro’s statistical explosion under Alonso, and questioning Morgan Rogers’ fee-to-output ratio—provides the episode's granular scouting detail.

Ryan Bailey acts as the institutional synthesizer, moderating the debate by highlighting consensus fractures. Bailey’s willingness to forecast major shifts—such as Manchester City dropping out of the top three altogether or Fulham collapsing into a relegation scrap—reflects an editorial perspective that views the 2026-27 season as a genuine break from historical precedent.

5. Strategic & Industry Implications

The insights generated by the Total Soccer Show panel extend far beyond domestic league standings, signaling fundamental shifts across the broader football industry.

First, the physical limits of elite athletes have become a primary economic variable. When clubs must spend £50 million on contingency signings like Ezri Konsa simply to mitigate workload-induced injuries, the traditional financial valuation of squad building changes. Medical analytics, recovery technology, and load-management protocols will increasingly dictate sporting success over pure tactical innovation. Clubs that master physical preservation will systematically outperform wealthier rivals whose star assets suffer chronic fatigue degradation.

Second, the prospective movement of Erling Haaland to FC Barcelona or Real Madrid underscores the continuing gravitational pull of La Liga’s traditional giants despite the Premier League’s financial dominance. If Manchester City loses their focal point at the height of his physical powers, it will demonstrate that personal prestige and brand legacy still compete effectively against English television revenues.

Finally, the compression of technical quality between the bottom of the 'Big Six' and the top of the middle tier signals the end of predictable domestic leagues. As secondary clubs adopt sophisticated multi-club scouting networks and acquire elite talent like Caleb Urenshi directly from continental pipelines, the margin for error for clubs like Tottenham, Newcastle, or Aston Villa becomes non-existent. A single poor transfer window or managerial miscalculation can instantly drop an elite club from Champions League contention into mid-table mediocrity.

6. Looking Ahead: Unresolved Questions & Next Milestones

As the 2026-27 Premier League campaign unfolds, analytical focus must center on several empirical indicators to validate or invalidate the panel’s theses:

Milestone / Analytical Indicator Key Metric to Monitor Critical Threshold for Success Potential Impact on League Standings
Arsenal’s Defensive Stability Conceded xG per 90 with Konsa-Gabriel pairing Maintain under 0.85 xGA/90 without Saliba Validation of Arsenal's title retention capacity
Manchester City’s Rest-Defense Opposition counter-attack conversion rate Limit opposition fast breaks to < 1.2 per game Determines whether City stays in Top 4 or drops to 5th
João Pedro’s Output under Alonso Expected Goal Involvement (xGI) per 90 Exceed 0.75 xGI/90 across opening 15 starts Confirms Chelsea as genuine top-three contender
Declan Rice’s Fatigue Degradation Distance covered & successful pressures/90 Maintain baseline pressure efficiency (>32%) Directly impacts Arsenal's central control
Benjamin Šeško’s Finishing Efficiency Non-penalty goals per shot ratio Exceed 20 league goals on >80 shots Secures Manchester United's top-four status

The 2026-27 season promises to be a masterpiece of tactical realignment and operational friction. Whether Arsenal establishes a new multi-year dynasty, Manchester City suffers a historic decline, or Xabi Alonso orchestrates a revolution at Stamford Bridge, the narratives established by the Total Soccer Show team provide the definitive blueprint for analyzing the drama ahead.

💬 Key Quotes & Speaker Breakdown

Manchester City transition

"The case for Man City is so much longer with managerial changes, like institutional pillars moving on from the club. How does that change things? That's not just Pep. That's also Rodri. That's also Bernardo Silva."

— Joe Larry

Transfer rumors

"I will say Erling Haaland will win the Golden Boot and this will be his last season at Manchester City. He's going to go to Barcelona or Real Madrid."

— Taylor Rockwell

Premier League title race

"I think Arsenal are the most likely team to win the title. I think they're pretty likely to retain it because they've already done it the one time. So that type of pressure is off of them."

— Taylor Rockwell

"My broad prediction is that as late as Christmas day, we'll be talking about an outsider as a potential title challenger—someone outside the traditional big six, Aston Villa, or Newcastle."

— Graham Ruffin

Chelsea manager appointment

"I think the chaos of Chelsea is almost understandable chaos compared to the lunacy that Xabi Alonso had to deal with at Real Madrid."

— Taylor Rockwell

Player form

"Declan Rice played over 5,000 minutes for club and country last season. Are we going to get the same explosive Declan Rice this year?"

— Graham Ruffin

"I don't know what is up with Nicholas Jackson because it seems like wherever he goes, he doesn't end up being the guy. He is too talented for there to be any other explanation beyond injury or some sort of personal problem."

— Joe Larry

Breakout players

"I think the stars are aligning for Joao Pedro to be the dude up top for Chelsea. I think he could finish only behind Erling Haaland in total goal contributions."

— Joe Larry

Relegation battle

"Nottingham Forest are a team I'm worried about. They were a bad team last year and they got worse in the window. They lost one of the best players in the Premier League in Elliot Anderson."

— Joe Larry

Manager sacking

"I wouldn't be surprised to see Daniel Farke leave over the course of the season. It felt like he was a game or two away from losing his job at Leeds."

— Graham Ruffin
📜 View Full Episode Verbatim Transcript 68,966 characters
Welcome to the Total Soccer Show and our Premier League predictions for the 26-27 season. This is our opportunity to give our thoughts on the Premier League Champion, the top five, the relegation candidates, the breakout stars, and so much more that will make us look foolish. Come May 2027. Here we go. My name is Ryan Bailey. Join me today. Taylor Rockwells here. Hi, Taylor. Are you ready to do some predicting? I'm as ready as I'm ever going to be. I spent a lot, I was like doing prep for this last night during like bath time and bedtime for my daughters and I realized how much of my work for them appears to just me staring off into the distance squinting because it was a lot of me squinting trying to figure out some of these teams and to figure out where I landed on them and ultimately I think I have squinted enough but maybe there's more squinting to come. Good, squint away as we go through the next 45 also, Taylor. Very good indeed. Graham Ruffin, will you be doing any squinting or just predicting? Not so much squinting. I mean, I presume we're going to be doing some deleting after the first weekend of the Premier League season, right? This isn't actually going to be on the feed forever. And so blisters better be quick. You've got to tell Monday to listen to this one. Yeah. When we're all made to look like idiots. When, I don't know, when when when Epswitch are going to win the title, they're going to do a lester set. Yeah, there we go. Joe Larry, how are you? Who's our deal with this? Was this your idea? I think it was Graham's idea. Maybe I don't know. I'm just going to pass the buck on to Graham. It's just really a race to look the least foolish, right? I mean, everybody's going to look silly. It's just a question of to what degree are you going to look silly? And my aim is to look the least least silliest list of them all. That's good. That's actually my my life motto to try and look the least silly in every day of my life. I hope. Yeah. It's a working progress going. So I can progress. I hope to get there one day. Probably not. All right. Lots of predictions to come before we get there. I'm predicting that some of you might type patreon.com slash total soccer show into your web browsers. You'll get up on this content if you do so. Yeah. Right. Right. Yeah. If you do that, you'll get a bonus episode, bonus video content and access to our discord server. Oh, Graham, don't you love a discord server? I do. I do. I do love a discord server, particularly our discord server, because in the space of about 10 minutes, I received messages about Scotch, Scottish teams, chances of European qualification. I can't, I believe, in the lower leagues in Eastern Europe, somewhere, and then a chat about the new villains land. They're building at the magic kingdom in Orlando. So our discord has a bearded place. And I love it dearly. A villain's lead. All right. I'll get into that. But let's do it on the bonus feed. Okay. That sounds like a bonus feed conversation. Excellent stuff. Patreon.com slash total soccer show. Thank you to everybody who supports us via that medium. Let's get into our predictions, shall we? Why don't we start off strong Taylor Rockwell with our prediction for who is going to win the Premier League? We tossed on this a little bit during our season predictions, which would be running a week, of course. Check them out on the feed if you haven't already. I think Taylor, I think we kind of agreed it's hard to see past Arsenal at this point. Who are strong favorites? We've got the consistency with the coach and consistency with many other facets of their team. How are we feeling? Is it Arsenal's to lose here? It is for me. I think they're the most likely team to win the title. I think they're pretty likely to retain it because they've already done it the one time. So that type of pressure is off of them. I think you can make arguments for like, do they have enough coverage here or have they over-invested there? Or do they have a like for like player in that spot? But like that feels very nitpicky. It feels like pulling it like clutching its straws or whatever. Because in reality, it just feels like they are a very established team with a lot of talent that like a strong coach who's been there and understands the team. And I think with so much flux in the rest of the league, it feels like they are naturally in position. Then they're retaining. Then they've strengthened. It just sort of feels like it's going to be difficult for anybody to get really even close to them this season for me. Graham, you can cut. Yeah, and I think the key thing there is Taylor alluded to it. If not Arsenal this season, then who? The amount of uncertainty across the league. I can build a case for Arsenal dropping off this season. Despite the transfer business that they've that they've done. Building is coming in. I'm about to do it. If you let me round, Bill, if you could go and build that. Graham, anytime you're ready, pal. Yeah, ready for you to build it. Okay. Okay, I'm ready right now, guys. I'm going to try my best. Go on then. Okay, thanks. Bruno Gamara is comes in. I think that's a good signing to bulk out their sentiment field options. But Declan Rice, as I mentioned earlier this week, played over 5,000 minutes for club and country last season. Are we going to get the same explosive Declan Rice this year? But kind of Saka hasn't been the same player for a little while. Whether that's through fitness or just general, his general output hasn't been up to his usual standard over the last like six months or so. William Celeba is out for Arsenal are still being quite closely guarded about how long he is out for. I fear that's quite quite a long term injury. And even the Esri concept seems like is coming into Arsenal now for about 50 million pounds. That is putting a new defensive partner next to Gabrielle and in the strongest defensive line in the league, a little bit of uncertainty, a little bit of uncertainty and sentiment field. And Arsenal have not always been the most imposing of creative and attacking teams. And despite the fact they look like they had made an evolution in the community shield against Manchester City. I think that is a big question mark as long as they haven't added an elite level attacking talent to the squad. Quite like Crystal Solos. He's looked good, but he's not Venetius Jr. He's not one of the top tier tier one strikers that Arsenal have been linked with in the past. So I can make a case for Arsenal, maybe not being as good as they were last season. But I just don't know who else I'm tapping to win the title. That's the problem. It's a fascinating way to go about it, Graham, and I'm glad you made the case. I think you can make that case for any team and any league at any time, right? You can always make that case. I think the way that I think about this and it's helpful that you've set the foundation is the case for Arsenal is just so much shorter than the case for everybody else, right? I mean, there are cases for everyone, but the case for Man City is so much deeper. And I think they probably will finish second this year, but really it's a shoulder shrug for me. The case for them is so much longer with managerial changes, like institutional pillars moving on from the club. How does that change things? And that's not just Pep. That's also Rodri. That's also Bernardo Silva. That's also John Stone's more the first three than the last one, but still there's a lot of change there. And there is now so much new and change happening. In a way that I think evolution is more how I would describe Arsenal and what maybe they're trying to do this season. I think city is just question and questionable change. Really, then you look at Manchester United and you think, well, it's a quite new midfield. Is that enough? Is there enough talent in the attack? I don't know that I buy that quite as much as I do with Arsenal. Do they have the same level and defense? I don't think it's particularly close. Chelsea, there's so much new happening all the time. I don't think anybody can seriously promote them as an actual title bet, although stranger things have happened. Liverpool, new managerial philosophy, like different than any other team at the top of the Premier League, reasonably in this title conversation, a huge amount of key injury when you think about you guy TK and also turnover. And over the last now, I guess, one, two, three transfer windows, is that going to be what propels them up the top of the table? I don't think so. So to me, the Arsenal case in the case against them is real. And I think everything in there is valid. And those are questions that Arsenal need to answer. But when you run through the other contenders, I just don't think anybody else has a shorter to-do list that they've got to take care of every Saturday. There we go. Congratulations, Arsenal, on your back-to-back Premier League win, the first time you went back-to-back in nearly 100 years. All right. Let's talk top five. This is where it gets interesting. Yeah, this is where it gets interesting. If you allow me, Grave, I might give my top five. Okay. See what you think of this. Number one, Brent, no, Arsenal, of course. Number two, I'm going Chelsea. Okay. Number three, Man United. And number four and five, I'm not sure which order, but I'm going to go Man City Liverpool. Man City fourth. Okay. So I think we have the same in terms of the teams, the same top five, but in a different order. Okay. So I'll give you mine. I've got an Arsenal one, as I've just said. I don't feel great about any of this, by the way. I could be convinced in any order, but I've gone Liverpool second. I've gone Chelsea third. I've gone Man City fourth, because I just feel like they're going- I'm really not convinced by their squad depth and with like Champions League football is going to be different to last season. And then I've got Man City fifth. That's my top five. Okay. So Joe, we've got Man City in fourth and fifth-ish. Yeah. Where are you putting? What's your five? I have them. I haven't been second. So I have Arsenal first. My case for City in second is a talent play, right? Recognizing that there is so much that has changed for them. I still think they have it's them and Arsenal of the best squads. And I don't really even know that I would say it's especially close and to number three beyond that. Though I think the rest of the top five. Joe, squads are team. Like, where would you write Liverpool in terms of, because Liverpool's issues, they got no depth at all. Yeah. Squad is a hole. Squad is a hole. Right. Okay. Yeah. I would certainly feel better about Liverpool if they had depth, right? And it sounds like they're working on that. The young Kubiminta rumor was was floating around a little bit today with Liverpool, which I would be a huge fan of that move because I'm a big fan of of mint. I think that'd be a delightful addition for them. But really Liverpool, they're fifth for me for this reason. They don't have enough depth. Like, I just don't buy it if they have a healthy Eccatique and they had a couple more pieces and we did this in three weeks time or an Eccatique case, maybe a year or maybe never. I would bump them up a little bit, but I just can't do it right now. As things stand and even as it seems like the wind is going to blow. But on city, I think there is so much quality in that team, even still, even as the midfield is quite chopped and changed. I know they made the same point about Manchester United, but city's midfield is just more talented and city's attack is just more talented. And they have the best player in the league who's also not good at football, but both those things are, I guess we can hold them together. Like early Holland is going to win the Golden Boot again, and city are going to be really good again. I think they're going to be growing pains at the start, but I think there's going to be growing pains for just about everybody. And city is the next one that I back the most. Then I've got Manchester United third, although Graham, I am really, as you talked, I was increasingly swayed by your point about they're going to be playing more games this year, and that's going to stress test them in a way that we didn't see last year. I just think me putting them third is really a sort of a result of me believing that they built pretty wisely over the last couple of transfer windows, identifying needs, filling those needs in a clever way, and getting better systematically and not overextending, not doing anything that's going to make their future progress really difficult. I think they've operated pretty darn well over the last three transfer windows, maybe a little bit more than that. So I have them third, maybe that's a little too high. I have Chelsea fourth. I really back Chelsea. I didn't think I was going to be the lowest so far of the three of us. And Taylor, I'm curious where you are here. I'm Chelsea because I did the Chelsea preview, and I did it last year, and I think I had them winning the league last year, and that didn't happen. And so I'm trying to course correct here slightly. I do believe in a lot of the talent that Chelsea have. Now I'm a little put off by the fact that Nicholas Jackson's been bomb squatted. That's a little unfortunate. I think you should be starting for this team. But I will say, I think there's a lot of quality here. And if you can get a job Pedro Cole Palmer Morgan Rogers, sort of attacking midfield band with the double pivot behind them, if Enzo can fit in there with a little bit of extra cover, I really think that presents some interesting opportunities because let's not forget, mostly in the Premier League, he's been a half space player rather than a double pivot player. But if you could be that double pivot player for Chelsea, there's a lot that I like about that. I think he's an incredibly talented player. If Shabby Lanzo can make all the pieces work, there's a ton of potential there. But I'm just I'm just tired of betting on Chelsea to be great. And the Liverpool I said I have in fifth, I just don't trust their depth. And I don't really even know if all the starting pieces or the key pieces fit together in the first place. Joe, when whole city spring the biggest surprise ever and qualify for the conference league next season, and then win it that season with Nicholas Jackson and Geo Reina as like the two most important attackers. Is that your thesis statement? Is that the moment when those two come together to win something? That that would heal. I think that's what he'll not just our world. That would heal other worlds as well. I will say, I don't know like I want to tread carefully here. I don't know what is up with Nicholas Jackson because it seems like wherever he goes, he doesn't end up being the guy, right? And so that there probably is some clues to take in there. We saw it at the World Cup of Senegal where he starts for them and then he's just not a starter by the middle of the tournament. He is too talented for there to be any other explanation to me, at least in the Senegal situation, beyond injury or some sort of personal problem, pure speculation, no idea. I'm sure he's a lovely fellow, but it does make me think maybe there's something more beyond talent because when I watch this two-play soccer, he is truly transcendently good and he just doesn't stick anywhere. And that feels like maybe there's starting to be a case built against him that maybe I should start to consider, but I refuse because he's delightful. Anyway, Taylor, what's your top five? Mine, I like mine, but it is entirely vibes-based. It's Arsenal number one. I have Chelsea number two. I have Man City, Man United Tottenham. I want to talk out a lot of these because as I said, they are vibes-based and that is ultimately what I've gone with because I think to what we talked about earlier with Arsenal, Arsenal is the only one that I think we feel like they're definitely going to be in the title conversation in the title range. For sure. Every other team that we have talked about, I think that you could make a somewhat compelling argument for them finishing like 12th. Sincerely, every single one could have a manager flame out, could have star players get hurt, could have things not click, and so I think Tottenham are as likely to be right back in the same Tottenham position that they've been in as they are to be fifth, genuinely. But I kind of have gone with like the vibes that I am most comfortable with. And with Chelsea, it is that I think Chavilla Lanzo is a very good manager and Ramadrid was just too much too soon and they are a beast like no other with so many talents and egos and other things that you have to manage, even as a player having played there, I think it's just a different world once you go and have to manage all those egos. And so I kind of want to just chalk that one off and I think that's where this gig is so critical for him and what comes next and what our understanding of Chavilla Lanzo as a manager is. Because with Levirk Yusin where there is expectation but certainly not by our music level expectation, he gets such great performances out of that team for two seasons. And I think and makes them better than they could have been and elevates them. And I think there's a chance he does that here with Chelsea. And I think the chaos of Chelsea is almost understandable chaos compared to the lunacy that he had to deal with at Ramadrid. He didn't help himself. But I think if he learned some lessons here, I think he can be enough to organize this Chelsea team into a team with how much talent they have and how much money's been spent. I think there's a lot of possibility there. I just can't yet put Manchester United ahead of Manchester City even with my concerns about Maresca. And I feel like there's going to be a lot of growing pains there. I have concerns about left back. I have concerns about the central defenders. I have even concerns about Strayker though. I'm going to try to talk myself into that by the end of this episode. And then just the overall depth with Man United plus, you know, it's Michael Karek in our manager now permanent could go really, really well. Could also be another Soul Shire. I don't think it will be. But like I think there's just there's too many question marks about them. And so that's where I then had that them as their city is third United is fourth and then it comes down to fifth. And this is where I think I'm being unfair to Liverpool. But I would love to hear what you all have to say about this. This is why I keep getting stuck on Liverpool. Because I did think Arna Sloff was going to be a smart appointment. It felt like stylistically philosophy. All of it made sense. But then he could maybe kind of continue the evolution that it started under Klopp before Klopp leaves. But when he announced he is departing, it feels like they start the rebuild there. We talked about it plenty. And then it doesn't work like pretty spectacularly. Only one. So now they've brought in Riola. Yeah, I mean, that was the ghost of Klopp, Joe. That was that wasn't really on your slot. I mean, that's what I mean, though. It goes well. And then it flames out so that he's not there anymore. And again, he is like we've done this on the show too. The most successful Dutch coach in the Premier League like is sacked after the season after winning the title. And it feels like now they're like, okay, we got to get back to kind of basics. We want to go back to this like, you know, hardworking, like hard pressing everybody pulling in the same direction philosophy. At least that's my understanding of Riola and what he was able to do with Bournemouth. I think that works really well at a club like Bournemouth because everyone has to be locked in because you're in such a precarious position that if you don't have full buy-in, you're probably getting relegated. And so you can get that level of commitment from your players. At Liverpool, I thought the vibe used to be like that when Klopp first takes over. I feel like there is that necessary evolution. I don't know if it is still there in that full format. And I wonder is he trying to come, I don't have any answers to these. But this is why I'm stuck on Liverpool. It's like is Riola coming in and trying to be rigid and exert authority and be the man in control right away? Is he trying to be their best friend and get kind of better performances out of them? Which one of those is likely to work? I don't know with this team, but I just wonder with the star power they have and how much money they spent. Is it another one of the scenarios we've seen of a huge club with a like scrappy hard fought manager wanting these like elite millionaires to go out there and run hard and have them be like, yeah, like that's not really what we want to do anymore. And like I don't know if that's even realistic, but it feels like a slam dunk appointment for so many reasons that I still am like, but is it going to work? Because I thought the other one was going to be a slam dunk. And now here we are. Yeah, I mean, I definitely don't think it's a slam dunk appointment. I think there's there are enough questions about it that it doesn't enter that territory. Just I mean, what we talked about earlier, when we preview Liverpool, can Riola style, he's going to do things. We think that no other coach of an elite team in the in the Premier League is going to do. Are the players going to like it? Is it going to work? Is it going to be effective? How much is it going to change? Because I think it will change to a degree. How much and will those changes be effective? And will you be good at coaching those changes? I mean, again, the question list for Liverpool is long. I tell you, I fell closer to you. I ran and I fell closer to you than Graham did because Graham had him second. Ryan and I had them fit. I would, I don't know if you have them six or lower than down the table or what. But I think I think we're largely swimming in the same waters here. And it's another reason that's going to make them in this season particularly fascinating. Yeah, I just think Liverpool are going to benefit from having a year with this like it's worth reminding ourselves superstar starting lineup of players. And I think they're, I think they're in a weird way as much as I understand the frustration of Liverpool fans, the lack of business that they've they've made so far. I would kind of prefer what they've done this summer over another summer where they go out and they just splash the cash on like five or six different players, which is kind of why I'm down on Man City a little bit, not necessarily just on this window. They haven't signed five or six players matches their city. But Man City over the last four windows, there's been so much turnover in that squad, where I'm looking through their community shield team that started at the weekend there. And it's like Donna Rima, he signed last year, Cousinov, he started signed 18 months ago, Anderson signed in the summer, Covichich started that game, but it won't be Covichich this season, it'll be Boade, who's going to come in. It seems like Man City are in the market for another central midfielder. There was on scene with the Adam Warton story today as we're recording. So that'll be another new central midfielder. It's some menu on the right who came in in January. It's Cherokee in the number 10 position. Like there's so much turnover at Man City right now to the point where they're getting rid of players like Savino and Omar Marmush who've only been there for like 18 months. Right. So I see a team like Liverpool last summer who, yeah, they've got loads of talent, but don't really know how quickly they're going to pull all that together. And then you fact they're in the same thing that Liverpool struggled with in their second season admittedly after they won a title under slot. But we saw the sort of natural drop off from the club era to a new manager. And I just think when Marès could come in after a pair, it's going to be natural. Like, especially having watched that documentary in Amazon, nobody can match that intensity. And I just think that's why I'm a little bit more down on Man City, while also predicting they'll still finish the talk. I mean, I think I think that's what's so confusing. Is like Graham, I'm with you. And I think there's like, it just feels so wrong to say like, I think the reality in which they're like six Man City. Because for all the reasons you've mentioned, plus like, it just bears repeating again, like, Pep, it might not like was Manchester City. Like more than anything else, more than the ownership group, more than the front office, more than the star players they had. Like he shapes the identity of that team. And I think about how long he was there and how much he put into that club. And for him to be gone, there's certainly going to be this like similar structures in place or some of the same structures in place. But it's just a whole new world. And we don't know how it's going to operate. We don't know what the players are going to be like. If they are used to a Pep system run by Pep, if it's a similar Pep system run by somebody else, is there the same level of focus and intensity? Like it's a, if the benevolent dictator is gone, what kind of what comes next? I don't really know. And I think there is just a lot of chaos around like City. Ultimately, I agree with Joe. I think it's just like the amount of talent there. Eventually, you find a way to win some games. And I think the relative thread Baroness, if some of the other teams around them, maybe allows them to kind of stay in that area because I have concerns about United as I said. And then Tottenham, I didn't even get into I had them fifth. But yeah, I think that for the two centerbacks and the two midfielders ahead of them is like one of the best kind of like spines you can possibly have in the Premier League. I think it is immediately elevated that team. I just don't think it's the same vibes and the same pressure on that team that was there last season after finishing 17th and then to a finish 17th again. But it feels like Dezerby has come in and kind of changed some hearts, changed the energy. Then there's been the money spent, but there's also been kind of cooler heads brought in on free transfers as veterans. And I still have issues, as I said, about the attack and it's Salonque and Vicharlasin and Tell and Kudush and maybe now Savinio, like I think they're probably going to continue to strengthen. But I see a lot of growth for Tottenham this season. I see a lot of basically stability that they didn't have. And if you have stability and you're used to chaos in that positive experience, do you thrive? Like, do you play even better? Because like, oh, this is so much more fun. Now we're having a great time. Now we're dunking on people. Like I can see them just kicking fire in a way that they like weren't having been able to do in so long. And I can see other teams just maybe having those slow patches, those moments when they're not performing the way we think they will. And so in the end, I might well have Tottenham in 17th at the end of the season or we might, but for now I'm buying the hype. Let's do it. There you go. Good stuff. 12 positions swing for Tottenham. I like the sound of that. And also when you mentioned the cooler heads who come into you, including deserving in that just forever. So, no, I'm not. And like, there is every reason to believe that it will implode spectacularly. I thought about making him my first manager sacks because that would just be so ridiculously on par for what Spurs have been doing of late. But I want to believe that this is him like, in the right situation and the right atmosphere, now he's going to be cool, calm and collected and fun to work with should work, don't fact check. Sure. Yeah. Perfect circumstances for that to happen. Tottenham, given the last few seasons, I'm sure. Very good. There's our top five predictions. And just to just to note, the Premier League does have five Champions League spots automatically again, thanks to the co-efficient. Thanks co-efficient. Let's take a quick break when we come back. Plenty more predictions to come, including the relegation candidates, the first manager sacks as Taylor just mentioned, and much more. Hey, join us then. Total soccer show, welcome back to our Premier League predictions. Let's talk about the thing. Lots of teams don't like to talk about its relegation. So, naturally, Taylor, whole commentary and Ipswich are the likely candidates having been the teams who've come up. But do we want to drag anyone in else into this conversation? There's maybe Sunderland, this may be. I might even sneak Newcastle in there. I'm not joining you, but I'm going to say that Newcastle seemed like a fascinating possibility and a club that could be flirting with relegation for large stretches of this season. It is truly just that I think whole commentary and Ipswich for reasons discussed in the previews are going to have a very difficult time in the Premier League and I think could all get relegated and could all come right back up. I just think that they're the talent deficit, stylistic fits and whatnot. It seems like it's going to be really difficult for it to be anyone other than those three. But I do have three other teams that could be in that conversation. Newcastle is one of them because it's what we talked about with Man City and the talent turnover and the changes that are happening, but to an infinite degree. I don't know if the Saudi Arabian ownership even really wants to have to think about Newcastle anymore. We've talked about how sport and leisure are not part of the next five year plan for the public investment fund. So is Newcastle going to be a priority if the season starts poorly? Are they going to try to make a change or is it like, yeah, but we'll stick with it and we'll keep selling players and developing them. I don't know what the vibe is, but it does not seem to be competitive and we are trying to fire on all cylinders from the jump. It feels like we want to be the new Dortmund and sell players and become a talent development academy or something along those lines. But that also takes a lot of forethought and planning and structure and that is not a thing that I would equate with Newcastle at present. So between the player turnover, anyhow departing, the signings being very rough in what they're bringing in. I don't think they're primarily ready right away. I think some of them could be star players by the end of the season, but I think there's going to be huge growing pains. And if the situation is already somewhat negative or at the very least somewhat up in the air, I don't know how it improves dramatically. There we go, building my case. Joe, can you convince us on any non-promoted side facing the drop this season? I don't know if I can convince you, but I'll try. Nottingham Forest are one that I will enter into the Convo and Folem is the other one. So I'll run through those two very briefly. I've got one more. Okay. Should I go first or do you want to go? Yeah, you do yours. You do yours. Okay. Excited that we got more than the three at this point. I'm giddy as a schoolboy right now. I've got Forest Forest are the one that I think is most likely beyond the first three. But who've just come up? I just don't think they've gotten any better. And they weren't very good last year. They were incredibly chaotic last year. Glazer is combustible. Marnakis is combustible. And it just feels like there's a whole lot of gasoline around and there's a couple of different people that like to play with matches. Which is sort of the more dramatized version, but the reality is this, like I said, this was a bad team last year. They got worse in the window. Not to say that they won't make more moves, but they lost one of the best players in the Premier League who was incredibly productive for them and all phases of the game in Elliot Anderson. And I mean, they just cannot replace them like that. And they haven't fully finished their business, but I am skeptical that they will accomplish that. Full of them are an interesting one where when I look at full and squad, I don't think it is bad, but I do think in this era of the Premier League, they probably haven't done enough to feel good heading into the season. And what I think about this attack losing him and as in losing Harry Wilson, yes, they've added Gonzalo Garcia from Ramajjud. I think it's a good player. I think he's going to be a good player. He's not going to get the same service that he got at Ramajjud. And it seems odd to me. The Arbaloa higher is a bit odd because it's sort of a higher based on faith and maybe reputation more than it is based on like real hard, fast evidence. That's a bit risky. I don't know that I love that. It also seems interesting that that it seems like Fullham's transfer strategy has been let's go get the guys that are manager who's barely coached likes, which again, I think you can do a little worse than signing high potential players from like the friend use of Ramajjud's first team. They got Garcia. They've got Palacio as they wanted to get Patarch, but but doesn't seem like they're going to. I think there's talent in there, particularly with Garcia and Patarch, but it just makes me nervous. Everything about Fullham right now makes me nervous. I don't think they've done enough for me to feel great about them or for anybody to feel great about them. And the moves that they have made I think are more questionable than some of the teams that finished around them in the table. So if you told me, Fullham are going to finish 19th this season, I really wouldn't be shocked. There are my bottom three. I'm worried about Fullham and last year. Do you remember them? I remember them. Yeah. And now I'm tipped them for relegation. Fullham fans just love me. Are they being a George Michaels girlfriend and from a recent development? Are they the end of the Premier League? Yeah. They're the end of the Premier League. I mean, in the boiled eggs. Yeah. Huh? Yeah. What? I mean, that works. But in last year, one of my worst predictions last year when we did this episode, it's 12 months ago, was about wolves. And I under indexed on the amount of basically goals and creativity that left that team. And the thing about Premier League teams are you look through all of these squads and there's loads of talent. They've all spent money. You can make a case of for anyone staying up just as you can make a case really for loads of teams finishing in the top five. But last year, I kind of overlooked just how much attacking quality had left wolves. And very quickly, I realized my mistake. I feel like fullham could be this season's wolves where Joe mentioned it. And Ryle Hemenes was their top goal scorer last season. Harry Wilson was their most productive creative player by pretty much every metric. And they brought in Garcia who I like Gonzalo Garcia at Real Madrid. I still feel like there's a chance he scores five goals in the Premier League this year. And that's nowhere near enough for fullham. And they've changed managers and they brought in an unproven manager who we just don't have no basically no evidence. And whether like what a style of play is, what he stands for. And if you look at the numbers from last year, Alex, a Woby is their next was their next top goal scorer besides players that have left the club over the summer with four goals, four league goals. And he's got an injury at the moment. So I just don't feel great about the the firepower that fill him have right now. I want to know Taylor. I want to know your wild card. My only other one like I just don't know enough about Crystal Palace to feel like they are comfortable. And I feel like they've lost key players over the seasons. We've talked about that at length. I do think Oliver Glazner was a huge reason why they have the success they do and the sustainability they do. And honestly is why I haven't really been as worried about Nottingham Forest because yes, he's combustible. But he's also combustible when they keep selling his players and they're not spending any money in him being like cool. So I have a nine-year-old. Now I guess starting in the attack, I hope that works out for me. That should be fun. Maronakis has never struck me as an owner who wasn't going to spend money inside players, though I take your point. I think they are in a worse position. I just think Glazner then automatically puts them into a better position. Whereas with Palace, like new manager, some changing, Xavier Gozo maybe is going to be the player of the season, but also maybe won't get that many minutes. It just feels like there are more question marks around Crystal Palace, a team for whom I've already had concern in the past and they stayed up. But I would throw them into the conversationist teams that I think have a lot of question marks and a great fewer solid answers behind them. I think Fulham is probably the best example of that, though, because like in as much as I was willing to say, like the Chavilanzo era of Ramadrid, maybe like doesn't matter as much to me given everything that was going on there. It's a weird one in that with Arbaloa. It's like the whole reason he was brought in was to like steady that ship and just kind of keep things calm, but not really rock the boat. I don't know if we got a good idea of what his like philosophy or identity is going to be. And now he's at Fulham. And so if you kind of discount like Ramadrid for Chavilanzo, and if you do the same for Arbaloa, you're left with Ramadrid B, like I just we don't and then that also extends to the players that brought in from Ramadrid. And so I suddenly then wonder like what do they have and what is it going to look like and is he the guy that's going to be there or is he the guy that's going to be out of a job after three months when it goes the way it did last season. Yeah, just very quickly, going back to palace, I share your concern and Taylor and Crystal Palace because they feel like a game of Jenga in the Premier League where it's like let's remove a make-lawly say, let's remove an easy, let's remove a Mac sense look why and like I'm not convinced they're models a good one. I said I've said that recently about Crystal Palace, but they're putting so much pressure on themselves to replace these players and window after window. And ultimately I kind of think if that continues it will catch up with them. So I I'm a little bit concerned about Crystal Palace. I don't think I'm quite as concerned about Notting Forest and while hearing your point, Joe about Elliot Anderson who was just so important for them, but I just look at their backline, which is it's got to be one of the strongest backlines in the Premier League with Malenka Vitch and Marello. And by the way they've added is Mandy of the Amanda from Sporting Lisbon who I think that could be one of the signings of the season as well. So that's the back three for Glasner. So even even if they have less quality in sentiment field or their attack falls off, I just feel like that defense is going to keep them up. All right, very good. Next prediction category one that might be related to relegated teams. The first manager to face the chop. I think we're looking at Holland, it's which is manager Gary O'Neill and Sergei. Jacobich perhaps has the likely contenders here. Frank Lampard seems to be escaping a lot of this category. We just I think Taylor discussed that in his commentary preview early this week as well. Taylor, I'll also throw Reggie Lebrie of Sunderland into this category. I just feel like I think Graham touched on this in his preview this week as well. There's no way they can live up to last season, qualifying for Europe of finishing seven. I think the only way unfortunately is down for them and it could be quite far down potentially. I feel like I'll wait for Reggie. Why for Reggie too? That's where I'm at. Don't worry for Reggie. Don't cry for Reggie. He'll be just happy. I think Sunderland will be okay. I think their rivals Newcastle might be in a more precarious position, as I've already said. I have gone in a direction I did not expect to go when I first started thinking about this one, but I'm going to run through it because it could be Yokeerovich for the very obvious reasons, but I don't know if anybody is going to be able to do what Hall need to do better than him, because I think it is just going to be a motivated fight as long and hard as you can sort of season, and I don't think any level of tactician is going to allow them to elevate what they're capable of in the Premier League. It might be him, but I hope that their owner is more aware of what happened last season and the miracle that was worked and maybe sticks with him even if things aren't going well. Gary O'Neill and Ipswich just seem stable or at least not immediately combustible. That feels more like even if things aren't going well, they're going to see maybe he's figuring things out. It's adjusting to Premier League life. I don't know why, but that's a vibe I have towards them. I said in my Coventry preview that I think Lampart is going to last the season if they're relegated. I think the lucrative contract extension that I failed to mention in that preview is part of that consideration, but I think all three of them might end up lasting longer than we would expect. So then I look at some of the other names we've already said. Arboloa, it's basically just that he is new and they might give him time, but I'm still unconvinced of how good that's going to be, but it might be more like just a little bit more leeway because he's new. I think Glasner is a good enough coach for Marinacus to be like, okay, I've got somebody and who knows what they're doing. I should probably listen a little bit more. Maybe I'm giving Marinacus way too much credit. Yeah, I was going to say. Yasla is also one who like like at Newcastle who if things aren't going well, he feels very much like you're the guy that we knew and could get cheaply because we already kind of employed. So come on over and if it's not working, they don't have much to lose. I just don't know if they want to have to worry about it. I don't know if they want to then pivot and have to go out and find a huge name manager to try to write the ship. So it might just be that they're kind of treading water, which leads me weirdly to Daniel Farca of leads. And that is, I don't have any reason for this other than that it felt like they were pretty dissatisfied with him heading into the season last year and then they had the success they did or the relative success they did. But if they don't start off strongly, if it doesn't feel like there is that evolution, because it feels like that's where we are with Daniel Farca now is like you've worked wonders, you've kept them up. Now how do you evolve? How do you keep them here? And that's where so many managers it seems to me end up stumbling is now you've got to evolve. Now you've got to find a new way to exist. Now you've got to find a new way to play. But if that doesn't work and you try to go back to what worked previously, you're automatically reverting, but if that doesn't work, now you're in a little bit of a crisis scenario. And it really is just down to like none of the other ones jumped out to me immediately, not that Farca did, but there has been existing dissatisfaction with him before. Maybe he has to evolve, maybe things don't click, and maybe they want to make a change sooner rather than later. Yeah, I mean, famously the game would all pivotate for leads was half time away to Man City where they were losing 2-0. And then he shifts to the back three, and I think it goes to 2-2, and then ultimately they actually end up losing that game, but after that leads go on this incredible run. And the story around that game was that this could be Farca's last match in charge of leads. Like it felt like he was a game or two away from losing his job. So I wouldn't be surprised to see him leave over the course of the season. I'd be a little bit surprised to see him leave first in a league where Alvaro Arbaloa is employed. And we're full of them have by by my reckoning the toughest star of any team. They've got Chelsea Liverpool and Manchester United in their first five games. I believe that other two games are against just very quickly here. Sunderland away. Sunderland had one of the strongest home records in the league last year, and then they who's the other one that they've got as Everton. I've lost it in front of me here. Crystal Palace. So I guess you could argue Crystal Palace at home is maybe their only game there. You would argue is like fully winnable for them. And when he has almost no credit in the bank in the way that some of the other managers we've mentioned have, I just can't really look past him at this point. Yeah, I don't think that's a bad shout out at all. Grimey's on my short list. I just don't have a sense Taylor. I agree with where you're coming from on what I hope whole will do. And the patients that they'll show maybe looking towards not just this season, not just next season, but maybe when the year after that in terms of maybe getting back to the league if they go down this year, I just don't have a sense of how their ownership's appetite is for patients or any of those things. And I think whole will be the worst team in the league this season. I mean, they really they weren't even a very good team in the championship last season, right? When you look at the underlying numbers, that's not to discredit them making it here. It is amazing that they made it this far. I just have a hard time seeing a role in which they don't finish bottom, in which they don't have a really difficult time getting points. And I just know that if I had something that got promoted to the biggest stage in soccer and was getting embarrassed, I might be quick on the trigger in those situations, even if it's irrational. So I do have a jikier bitch top of my list. Glazner chaos, like I said already, I think it's very possible that he ends up on the side of the road. But I do think, Grimey, the point that you've made about the defensive quality of forces, a good one, and Taylor the point you've made about Glazner's qualities and managers, a good one. So I don't think that's a guarantee. Our below is just a question mark. I want to leave the door open to him doing a good job and full of being decent, like a mid-table team. I think that's very possible. I feel like we've done a lot of the negative because it feels like there is a lot of possibility for that too. But I'll leave the door open to that going well. And the dessert beast one that I've got just I mean, yeah, I think there is going to be potential for chaos at Tottenham in a way that I mean, there's already been chaos. I don't need to make the case for that. It's an obvious case to make. But I just wanted to mention his name. All right. Two things. One, I think like I got stuck on Hall's owner, Akun Ili Jali, because like he's a Turkish businessman billionaire. And I haven't known many billionaires in Turkey. I've known a lot of business men in Turkey. They could make decisions very, very quickly in my experience. And it does feel like maybe yeah, one where it's like if it's not going well, we're just changing it. We're going to make something else happen. That's fine. Like I just want to believe that maybe there will be a little bit more appreciation for what came before I doubt it. I just don't know his business inclinations. So what I will ask is if we all had to pick from a perceived top 16, who sacks their manager first? Wow. I mean, there's going to be a stole. We can count it to you. Yeah. You all going down. I know. I don't think I will. I think this area is going to be successful as far as I would maybe go Michael Karak a bunch of I didn't want that to be the answer. Shall I give? Shall I give you the odds? I'm looking at the odds here of the least likely to get sacked. So the least likely. I'm going to get to number one. It's Michael Atehta. Yes, it's number one. Who do you reckon is number two according to the bookmakers? Like the safest manager in the rest of the number two. Areska. Okay. And I'd advise some. Let me think for a moment. I remember. So admittedly, I checked these odds earlier this morning, but specifically for one name, which was way further down than I thought it would be, which was David Moise, who I think was like 17th, least likely or something like that. Do I have that wrong, Graham? He's like med table and the odds I'm looking at. Emory was going to be in my dark horse. No, Emory. Yeah. It's not. It's not Emory. Surprisingly, I might have gone for it in my Emory. It is Keith Andrews. The is a good job. Apparently the second safe is manager. Is that just because they know they could just get another Keith Andrews like the next day. Yeah, they called them. Yeah. There's no there's no the prestige machine. Yeah, prestige is seen. All right. So not those two, right? It can be the other 18. The prestige is. Whoops. It's on. Yeah. Whoops. My bad. There's no mischievous thing. All right. So you got so Graham and or sorry, Graham says. That's a kind of, says Kerrick, Joe and Ryan say, does Erby? Yeah. Yeah. There we go. I imagine for the overall first manager sect, Graham is persuading me on our blower as well. So that's where I'll be putting my, my trust in that. What are these? Okay. Yeah. Let's take one more quick break. A couple more predictions. We're going to talk about the breakout players and we're going to give a big bold prediction to finish off with. Hey, join us then. So the soccer show. Welcome back to our Premier League previews. Let's talk about breakout players. Joe Larry, would you like to set the ball rolling with a player you think will be a breakout star this season? I would look at Tarantan. Done. That's Joe's answer. I do like Lucas Harrington. I do like Xavier Gozo. I would not bet on either one of those players being considered a breakout star. Come the end of this year for various reasons. But I will go with another young player. Rio and Gamoa is my, is my first pick. I have a handful of gnomes, but he is my first nom. He turns 18 later this month. Liverpool are building. It seems to me as an outsider, like he's going to play big minutes or at least bigger minutes. You played 500 minutes last year. I had two goals. One assists in league play. Those are only league numbers. He was in that England pre-World Cup camp. And Ryan, I remember you talking about how he looks pretty good. Maybe we should think about bringing this guy to the World Cup. And then he already wasn't on the roster right then. But he's clearly someone that's rated highly by people that are much smarter than me with all of these things. And he's already shown some things on the field. The fact that Liverpool are a little bit light for attacking depth options. Even if it sounds like they're going to add one more winger, I'm sure one more winger who can play on the right. I mentioned Minta earlier, even if in Gamoa isn't relied upon like in every game starter. And that might be what's best for him, right? Who knows? I think he is going to be in a position to put together some pretty impressive performances this year. And he's a highly highly rated young player who brings a lot of ability, like well-rounded ability, I think, on the wing. He is somebody that I would very much out here. Can I run through the rest of my nominees? Or do we want to go one at a time? Okay, I'm going to go for it. I'm going to empty the chamber. I don't know if we can count you on Manzambi in this category or not, but I did. I think he's going to be quite good at Villa. I think he's going to be tasked with building, well, not building really, but I suppose filling in some of the Morgan Rodgers shoes. But he's versatile enough that I think his role could look a few different ways. It might take a little bit for him to sort of be maximized because I think he's a player that might take Emory a little bit to figure out. But I think Manzambi is going to be in really good position to make some magic happen. Another Villa player that I still buy the talent, even if he seems like a little bit, it seems like trouble maybe follows this player. Alejandro Garnacho at Villa, I think Villa needed attacking numbers. I think he's going to have opportunity to play this season. They're going to need goals and assists as they have transitioned a little bit over the summer. And he's still, I think, a quite good player who's very much good enough to start every game for Villa and to put up, I don't know, eight and eight, ten and six. That wouldn't totally shock me. Ten and six might shock me a little bit, actually. But somewhere like eight goals for us, somewhere in that region, I think is possible for Garnacho. He's already broken out. So he's a little bit of a reuse in this category. But maybe rebake out would be fair for him. And then my last player, Oscar Bob, I still got Oscar Bob's talk, man. I watched him a bunch of the World Cup. He still looks like a player who can impact games to me. And now it full of them. Full of them are going to need him to produce for them. He's going to have a chance now after a full preseason with full of them, which would be his first to kind of bed in a different way. I think it's possible that he could be someone that helps full and replace the numbers that they lost in the players we've already talked about on this show. So those are my four guys that I'm looking to first and foremost to have really impressive seasons relative to where they've been in the last year or two. Okay. Graham, can you give me Max Diamond or is he already broken out? No, I think I can give you Max Diamond. I mean, if Joe's having Alejandro Garnacho, you can definitely have Max Diamond. Can we then do degrees of like, like, what does breakout look like then? So do you mean Ryan? He's going to put up serious numbers for the first time, because obviously we know that a bunch of games, yeah. Yeah, which is, I think that's the measure that Joe's used for a bunch of his players. Like, really? He was actually my pick as well. I think he's going to get a lot of game time for, for, um, for Liverpool. Same with Max Diamond, it sounds like you're, you're predicting. I think so. Yeah. Uh, I also know just everyone gets injured all the time. He's going to get some opportunities that I met him. That's my magic. I'll get, I'll, I'll give you a few names. I think Max Diamond's a good show. Um, Engelmore was was my number one. My number two is um, Shay Lacey, who is a 19 year old Manchester United winger, who I think has made a pretty big impact in preseason. Also played a bit towards the end of last season. And he plays in a position, uh, as I said, he's a winger. He plays in a position where it doesn't seem like Manchester United are going to strengthen. They're going to send Carlos believers at, believe us, their third midfielder seems like they're going to give themselves two weeks and to have a crack at a left back. And they're going to reintegrate Marcus Rashford. And they don't have a whole lot of other depth in the wide positions because, uh, Rubin Amrins sold all their wingers a couple of years ago. So, uh, and Michael Carrick seems to be a bit more open to, uh, to integrating some youngsters as well. And has been glowing about Shay Lacey. And I've seen glimpsies of him and he looks really good, really good one V1 player. So I'll say Shay Lacey. And then a couple other nominations, uh, Ryan McAdoo is another sort of Shay Lacey type player from Manchester City, um, who's by which, by which I mean, he's broken through in preseason, looks really good. Another winger, Manchester City, don't have, again, like, don't have a massive amount of depth, particularly in the, like the right wing behind Semenio. And so I think we'll see a bit of Ryan McAdoo. And then we've already spoken about him on the podcast. I won't go long on him. Brian Madgel for Asin Villa. Yeah. There is a chance, a slim chance, but a chance nonetheless that he is Villa's starting center forward this year. There's a bit of speculation around all he walked into potentially going to Saudi Arabia. If that is a big fee Villa could be tempted to sell him. And then they've got like 10 days of the window to find the replacement for a guy who's already scored against PSG in the Super Cup. So they, I think he's going to get a whole bunch of game time this season as well. I think that's two very good shouts. I'll go with individual biases for me. First, a player that I previewed. I talked about at length, Caleb Urenshi of Coventry City, signed from FC Norgelland. Like the abbreviated summary, I would say, is from everything I've read and seen, he, I think Tyler Adams, but then better on the dribble with greater passing range and vision for a Coventry team that will need an elevated midfielder who can win the ball and then launch counterattacks. I think he'll be in the Premier League no matter what next season. I think either with Coventry if they managed to stay up or after a very, very expensive move to a larger Premier League team. So I think he could break through in that way. And then one that I think is already more of a known quantity has already had his big move. But Benjamin Cheshko, I think with a full season, then a preseason under a steady manager with clear tactics. I think the midfield is going to have more depth. I think the kind of attacking creativity around him is going to be better. But I think there also aren't a ton of other competitors for his position. I don't think Joshua Zerksie is going to supplant him as the starter and he might even be moved on before the window closes. So I think Cheshko could go from like, he, I think he played 30 games last season and scored like 11 goals. I feel like he could be not quite in the golden boot race, but I think he could be a 20 plus goal scored this season in the Premier League. Very nice. I'll throw a couple more names in there. I don't think I've been brought up yet. What I'm not sure about Hayden Hackney. Oh, yeah, like him. So hopefully Scotland's Hayden Hackney as well. Well done about that. Well, played for a year, 21. But if you've, um, if you've watched the Champions League last season, he, he was the best player championship based last season that doesn't always translate to breaking out in the Premier League. So that's why I'm sort of a bit skeptical about it. I'm hoping to see good things from Hayden Hackney as well. And another player who I did preview at Newcastle who I'm interested in seeing break out is a Buzzamana Touré who is basically the new Anthony Gordon wide attacker for them. Rapid, uh, got involved in a lot of goals for off and high in last season. As I've mentioned in my preview, I think Newcastle going to be chaos. I think they're going to score a lot of goals and could see probably more than they score, but he's going to be the main avenue. I'd imagine through which they have a, they're a taxa. I'm excited to see what Touré does as well. He is, he is, like, observably fast. Like that's how I'd put it. Like in the way that in Bapu, he's going to like, whoa, that dude is fast. Like, but tomorrow when he turns it on, it's just like, oh, that guy is very fast. That, that is the thing to watch with him for sure. If I could make like a broad prediction about Newcastle, I'm not quite there on them being like relegation candidates yet. I'm very much there on them being like bottom of the, bottom half of the table candidates. Um, there's so much chaos going on at that club right now, but I think just as a broad prediction, there'll be a couple players that they hit on and Touré could be one of them. There's another guy called Sean Stewart, who they've seen from Ajax, who arrives with, um, quite, um, glowing reports. So maybe he's another one that catches the eye. Yeah, touch, um, you know, coaches and players coming out from Holland always hit. So that's right. Yeah, it's going nicely. Yeah, famously so. Very good. All right, let's do one more thing on this prediction's podcast. Let's get one bowl prediction from each of years. Mine's kind of been, um, taken already. Well, I was going to say that full and being in a relegation fight, but my main one was going to be Mancetti finishing outside the top three bit sounds like there's reasonable consensus among the gang on that one as well. Taylor, do you have a bowl prediction? Yeah, I think the Newcastle will flirt with relegation is probably not bored enough. So I will say Erling Holland will win the Golden Boot and this will be his last season at Manchester City. Oh, wait. And to go where? To go where? Tell us. One of two places. The two Spanish ones. Barcelona. It's Ramadreda, Barcelona. That's it. Wow. I mean, I don't know how Ramadred would work. Barcelona, Barcelona had not even been on my radar until Graham pointed out. I believe on the Patreon that they have lost a lot of goals. They've lost some drinkers. And suddenly, I'm like, is Barcelona like, wily enough? And they are to see this as a possibility now. Start clearing out the decks now. Roll the dice with all the talent they have and compete in La Liga this season and then make a Godfather blockbuster offer for Erling Holland in the summer. That feels like a possibility. It's Taylor. It's crazy because I totally agree. And at the same time, there was not a less Barcelona player than Erling Holland, who's ever existed. Like Julian Arojo is a more Barcelona player than Erling Holland. Like, Maumudu Falls is a more bar, Bayou Tabler, whatever that guy's name was, the Canadian guy. Like, he's just the antithesis of Barcelona. And I love it so much. Yeah, that guy, you know what I'm talking about. I just, I just love it so much. It makes me so happy. You know, if Real Madrid were to say in Haaland, you know how I talked about Crystal Palace taking the Jenga blocks out. Yeah. Real Madrid are stacking them on top. Haaland finishes the Monday, Bayou. That's how Jenga works, Greg, to see you know. Yeah, no, but that's where the, the palace blocks are going. Real Madrid are just taking them and putting them in the tank. Okay. I mean, he just goes one way. Haaland goes the other Schlapp deal. Come on. Wow. Whoo. It's work. Joe, both predict place. Big six to finish top six. I know that it doesn't sound bold. I have more. I'm not very good at this. It hasn't happened in five years. And I think all four of us predicted it, which probably happens pretty regularly. But the odds are exceedingly low that that actually happens. Like, I would suggest betting against all our predictions, listener, or at least if you could bet against the big six finishing in the top six, I would say it's probably the right move. I do have a small other two others on my list. Morgan Rogers, well, fewer, primarily goal contributions this year than last year. Can I, can I get some traction on that Chelsea, bottom for 138 million euros. He started 37 games for Villa. He had 10 goals and six assists. I don't know. The Chelsea of it all is even going to start all that often. Yeah, he will. But when you start every single game, will he be the main man? We know he won't be the main man in the same way. It's a lot of money for a good player, but I wouldn't be shocked if he ended up with fewer overall goal contributions in the league this year than last year. And my last one, another, another Chelsea one, job Pedro will finish only behind Erling Holland in total goal contributions. I think the, the stars of a lion for job Pedro to be the dude up top, I mean, to even to the point where when Alonso is wanted to play another striker in preseason, he's often played them with Pedro. So I think he's going to be in for another really, really strong season. And he couldn't be the guy that we look at it as Chelsea's biggest star in this year's done. Very good. I'd like to go and record, by the way, saying I don't think top of the finishing to top six. I would be better with that one. But I don't know who will finish six. You know, I'll go bold leads lead to going to finish six. They're going a great season. I think it's all going to click for Parker and her. I love that. That was bold Graham, something ball. I feel I've gone two balls with my prediction given the gauge off where the rest of your late six. Well, well, my prediction, my broad prediction is that as late as Christmas day, we'll be talking about an outsider as a potential title challenger. And by outsider, I mean like a real outsider, not anyone in the traditional big six or Asun Villa or even Newcastle despite everyone, everything that we've said about them on this episode. Someone outside those big eight clubs. I think there'll be a question of, could they? Are they going to keep this up? Because my logic here is the top end of the table looks wide open. I cannot recall a Premier League season with so much uncertainty around the big teams. So many new managers, a lot of squad rebuilds. And so I think the door is slightly more open than usual for an outsider to make a run. The problem is I'm not really sure who that outsider is because the uncertainty permeates the entire table. But my prediction here is that one of these new managers or one of these teams will hit and will be up there near the top end of the table for longer. I think ultimately Arsenal won it by 10 points in the end. But there will be an outsider that's up there raising a question of, could they? Could they maybe do a Leicester City? That's my ball prediction. We're all agree Graham's a coward for not picking a team. For sure. No, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I need to pick a team though. I will say, you don't have to speak out. He doesn't lead. 18 might be around the top four guys. Ball from Graham. 20 teams will finish the season. As both of them, oh you guys, peck was George Morgan Rogers going to have less than 16 goal contributions. I will say get him ready. I'm going to put it like that. Wow. Just immediate shot to Joe. Oh man. That was vicious. Vicious, but incredibly fair. Wow. Why not? Let's go for leads. You said it. Yeah. You said it right. Double leads. Love it. Very good. Very good. Okay. Primary lead predictions. Check. If you've got predictions of this now, why not join our discord server? We can chat like predictions leads aren't foul. That's my whole prediction. I predict, Taylor will be right. There's my ball prediction. Hey, there you go. And I predict we should end this episode very shortly, because we've all got things to do. We've got Premier League to watch. It starts in a few hours. Can't wait to see that Premier League kick off here week. Thank you very much. Taylor Rocco for that exciting thing you just did. If you're watching on a YouTube, that was why I'm excited. I'm excited for the Premier League to be back. I'm very happy as a main United supporter that it's Saturday at 730. That is when my kids are awake. So I will be watching whole city with children crawling all over me trying to change the channel to Bluey. And I'm excited about it. It's sad that I'll have been up for about 90 minutes at that point, but hey, here we are. Never mind. Such a sad. Yeah. For me, your choice. I suppose everything's just every good choice in life if you put it that way, and thank you very much indeed for your contributions here. Thank you, Ryan Billy. And thank you, Joe Lowry. So we appreciate you. Thanks, Ryan. And listen, thank you very much for joining us in this one. We'll be back on the feed very shortly indeed to talk about the Premier League and so much more. But for now, bye.